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βWinter Weather CenterβSWC Forecast CenterWelcome to SWC Forecast Center

Image: ECMWF/Pivotal
January 20, 2021
β Pattern amplification starting to work into the USA but models still struggling...
The pattern change mentioned last week has started. The first piece of this puzzle started late last week. A couple glancing shots came over the last few days keeping things colder with rounds of snow. A brief surge tomorrow, Thursday, sets the stage for another cold shot to push into the central and eastern USA. Each storm will help amplify the pattern further.
The key to sustain cold air for longer periods of time will be the tropical connection. Storms that feed on this energy will lead to deeper, stronger, and colder implications to the sensible weather. The next big piece should come Sunday into Monday.

Image: ECMWF/Pivotal
January 20, 2021
Operational models have struggled mightily because they mishandle the southeast ridge and the increasing depth of the polar vortex. The snow map image above is not to show snowfall totals, relative to amounts, but to the southward progression. I contend that each storm will pull colder air south to a point, shunting the southeast ridge that tries to make the eastern USA remain in a blowtorch, warm pattern. Let's see how things keep evolving.
β Forecast provided by: Meteorologist Joshua Ketchen
β Forecast provided by: Meteorologist Joshua Ketchen
- π‘ Winter Snowfall Forecast
Show and hide layers π‘ The 2020/21 SWC Winter Snowfall Forecast illuminates a wintry picture over a large portion of America. A La Nina favored large-scale pattern with upper-level ridging in the west and troughing in the east was considered in developing this forecast. Other influences, from the Arctic to the North Atlantic, could play a major role on how storm systems progress across the country.
- Latest SWC Forecasts
- βοΈ Winter’s Last Stand for the Ohio Valley with Heavy Snow possible Friday night
- β οΈβοΈ Winter Storm Update Plus Expected Snow & Ice Totals across the Ohio Valley Region
- βπ§βοΈ Powerhouse Winter Storm to slam the Ohio Valley with Ice and Heavy Snow starting on Wednesday night through Friday
- βπ§ Potentially Dangerous Winter Storm to bring significant winter impacts to the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southern Plains this week!
- β See how much snow will fall across the eastern third of the Ohio Valley Sunday night/Monday morning
- β A Massive Winter Storm is expected to produce widespread accumulating SNOW across multiple regions this weekend
- β Winter to visit the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes this week with Accumulating Snow and Cold
- π₯Ά Major Cold Outbreak Likely next week with “First Flakes” possible in the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Northeast!
Latest SWC Featuresβ Catch up on the most recent weather forecasts from SWC Forecasters!
β Track severe weather hazards day or night with our interactive maps!
β Visit our social media outlets for more fresh weather content!
β Sign-Up for a storm chasing vacation with our veteran Storm Chasers and friendly Tour Guides!
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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Do you have a fun weather fact or personal weather story that you would like to share with SWC Forecasters? We would love to hear about it! Send us your story at forecasters@swcforecastcenter.com.
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- β οΈ U.S Advisory Layers
SWC Weather Advisory Layers β οΈ Click on real-time watch, warning, and advisory polygons for critical weather information. Allow the SWC location feature to plot your location on the map. Expand the map and visit all SWC Weather Layers.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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π NOAA/NWS Surface Weather Maps display forecasted cold/warm front postions, precipitation areas, and high/low pressure centers. Forecasts span over 48 to 60 hours.
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- π§ As Winter Weather impacts become more frequent across America, it's important to brush up on the basics. Let's review how you can prepare yourself and your family for the worst of Old Man Winter!π¦ Pack an Emergency Supply Kit.
π± Charge all Communication devices.
π Winterize all family vehicles.
π Get up-to-date weather reports.
π Share your travel plans with others.
π£ Monitor road conditions.
- Latest SWC Forecasts
- βοΈ Winter’s Last Stand for the Ohio Valley with Heavy Snow possible Friday night
- β οΈβοΈ Winter Storm Update Plus Expected Snow & Ice Totals across the Ohio Valley Region
- βπ§βοΈ Powerhouse Winter Storm to slam the Ohio Valley with Ice and Heavy Snow starting on Wednesday night through Friday
- βπ§ Potentially Dangerous Winter Storm to bring significant winter impacts to the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southern Plains this week!
- β See how much snow will fall across the eastern third of the Ohio Valley Sunday night/Monday morning
- β A Massive Winter Storm is expected to produce widespread accumulating SNOW across multiple regions this weekend
- β Winter to visit the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes this week with Accumulating Snow and Cold
- π₯Ά Major Cold Outbreak Likely next week with “First Flakes” possible in the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Northeast!
Latest SWC Featuresβ Catch up on the most recent weather forecasts from SWC Forecasters!
β Track severe weather hazards day or night with our interactive maps!
β Visit our social media outlets for more fresh weather content!
β Join SWC Veteran Storm Chasers in Spring 2021 as we track down the most intense Supercells and Tornadoes found in the world!
- π‘ View the latest Goes-16 Visible Satellite image of the United States. This image will update every 5 minutes.
- π₯ As La Nina continues to control the overall pattern across the Western U.S., dry conditions are prevailing across Arizona, Utah, and New Mexico. These conditions are forecasted to continue through Winter 2020/21.
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